Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.050650 2.339071 2.655844 3.029949 3.460195 3.940096 4.516795
2025-10-12 1.717730 2.115470 2.588703 3.194860 3.953014 4.873010 6.078723
2025-10-19 1.448617 1.902046 2.478979 3.270512 4.333975 5.721382 7.681785
2025-10-26 1.246843 1.729852 2.381071 3.329534 4.686260 6.572992 9.423456
2025-11-02 1.050040 1.527598 2.204499 3.242936 4.812057 7.120296 10.820721
2025-11-09 0.876918 1.329629 1.999999 3.076490 4.783861 7.424096 11.887461
2025-11-16 0.772749 1.217171 1.902376 3.050321 4.955127 8.041728 13.527272
2025-11-23 0.680590 1.109582 1.795646 2.990261 5.056108 8.550696 15.055076
2025-11-30 0.643126 1.084281 1.815454 3.137723 5.519244 9.722759 17.914508
2025-12-07 0.598931 1.041352 1.799108 3.218202 5.872351 10.746198 20.661645
2025-12-14 0.544900 0.974318 1.732152 3.197511 6.034753 11.438375 22.878249
2025-12-21 0.484424 0.888456 1.621138 3.079763 5.994823 11.735643 24.343840
2025-12-28 0.463740 0.874804 1.643094 3.223121 6.494654 13.184225 28.497078
2026-01-04 0.446095 0.864843 1.670829 3.381823 7.049668 14.832056 33.390490
2026-01-11 0.420023 0.835264 1.656681 3.452945 7.431047 16.170699 37.834341
2026-01-18 0.395136 0.805085 1.637553 3.510575 7.790826 17.515952 42.545187
2026-01-25 0.358702 0.746884 1.553850 3.416530 7.795108 18.050662 45.360247
2026-02-01 0.319260 0.677971 1.439716 3.239455 7.580633 18.035617 46.762519
2026-02-08 0.296215 0.642078 1.393059 3.211194 7.717194 18.892037 50.631191
2026-02-15 0.272762 0.602778 1.334533 3.147465 7.757465 19.513396 53.975372
2026-02-22 0.267050 0.602932 1.365234 3.302970 8.373632 21.714180 62.235749
2026-03-01 0.256749 0.591338 1.367353 3.387845 8.818990 23.533185 69.750623
2026-03-08 0.240549 0.564104 1.329417 3.365952 8.975787 24.586696 75.150816